NBA Free Premium Play for today:
NBA Pick: 703 Oklahoma City Thunder @ 704 Toronto Raptors
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Under 194 (Play up to 192)
Odds: -105 / 1.95 on Pinnacle Sports OR -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker OR -107 / 1.93 on Matchbook
Detailed Write Up:
Oklahoma City is on a bad physical spot tonight, with a bunch of injured players and without Durant and Westbrook, they naturally lack a scoring punch. The Thunder dished 14 assists against a Nets defense that isn't an elite defense and I guess this says it all. So, the key in here will be to understand the match up between Toronto's offense and Oklahoma City's defense. The game yesterday between Brooklyn and Oklahoma City went over the total posted because Brooklyn had an offensive explosion due to a great outside shooting night. However, that's unlikely to happen tonight because Toronto's offense is struggling at the moment with poor ball movement, with just 13 and 11 assists on their last two games.
The Raptors have been able to score via free throws and offensive rebounds. However, if there is something with quality that Oklahoma City still has, that's their frontcourt with Ibaka, Adams and Perkins. Therefore, I expect the Thunder to have a solid interior defense game, while the Raptors' perimeter game won't be at all as explosive as Brooklyn was last night. I see this game being a low scoring affair and so, I'll take the Under in here.