Stay away from Greinke

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Stay away from Greinke

It's so tempting to lay less than $1.40 on the best pitcher in the American League, if not all of baseball.

No starter has an ERA lower than Zach Greinke's 2.08. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is a mind-boggling 153-to-28.

Yet Greinke continues to burn money for those unfortunate to wager on him.

The Kansas City Royals are 3-10 in Greinke's last 13 starts despite these great numbers. The Royals have been favored in every one of these games. The Royals lost seven times during this span as -$1.35 or higher favorites with Greinke on the hill.

Greinke has a 2.53 ERA in his past five starts - all Kansas City losses.
It takes a lot to be the worst team in the American League with the best pitcher. Congratulations Royals you've earned that dubious distinction.

The Royals enter the weekend tied for last in runs scored in the American League, rank 26th in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage and 24th in both slugging percentage and home runs.

Oh, yes, the Royals also have the third most errors in the American League and possess a terrible bullpen.

Please keep all this in mind the next time you're getting seduced by Greinke being a short favorite like I was on Wednesday.
  • Poor Zack, if that young man pitched for a solid contender he would be making people talk about a possible 30 game winner again. Royals middle relief is the worst I can recall since the Seattle Pilots in 1969.

  • The Smoltz fade has been working well especially if the opposing starting pitcher is decent.

  • Thanks Df. Have been hot on the 'dogs lately, now if I could get some of these favorites like Greinke to win ... LOL

  • Very true, Stephen.

    BTW, good call on the Nats are few nights ago.  GL the rest of the week.