White Sox Sox (Contreas) +$1.10 at Indians (Sowers)
Analysis: Analysis: Why is Jeremy Sowers favored? Perhaps the better question is why is Jeremy Sowers even on a big-league roster? I can answer the first question. Sowers is favored (although that line rapidly is coming down) because the oddsmaker made a mistake. First off, the White Sox are hot. The Indians are not. Chicago has won four in a row. The White Sox are 11-4 in their last 15. They have captured 12 of their last 16 road contests. The White Sox offense finally has picked up, averaging six runs in their last 15 games and batting .308 in their last 10 games.Sowers is 2-5 this season with a 5.44 ERA. He is 0-4 with a 6.87 ERA lifetime mark against the White Sox.The White Sox tore up a much, much better lefty last night scoring seven runs on 11 hits in three innings against Cliff Lee. They should have even greater success facing the southpaw Sowers, who relies on finesse and guile rather than talent. That may work against a team not swinging the bats well, but he shouldn't be effective here. He rarely is.White Sox starter Jose Contreras has pitched much better since coming back from the minors to correct mechanical flaws. The oddsmaker isn't giving Contreras that respect, though. But Contreras has a 2.15 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in 29 1/3 innings since his return. He is 4-2 with a 3.34 ERA lifetime versus Cleveland.Two of the Indians' biggest bats - Victory Martinez and Travis Hafner - are a combined six-for-49 versus Contreras with no extra base hits.Cleveland has lost its last four games and six of its past seven. The Indians are 3-13 in their last 16 games. They have the worst record and manager in the American League. The White Sox have a rested bullpen. The Indians' bullpen is one of the worst in baseball. All my check marks go to the White Sox. It's a nice bonus to get them at this value price.
The Red Sox blowing a 10-1 lead last night cost me a winning day yesterday. But I'm still 19-8 on my last 27 selections. I have my strongest total of the week going today. It can be viewed here http://pregame.com/pregamepros/Bettors.aspx?CapperId=7746
Thanks and best of luck to everyone today.