WNBA Trend Factors & Indexes - Tues 6-30-09

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  • 06-30-2009, 7:54 AM

    • Straguzzi
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    WNBA Trend Factors & Indexes - Tues 6-30-09

    WNBA DUNKEL

    Washington at San Antonio
    The Silver Stars look to take advantage of a Washington team that is coming off a loss in Chicago on Saturday and is just 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing with two days rest.  San Antonio is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Siver Stars favored by 7 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6).  Here are all of today's picks.


    TUESDAY, JUNE 30
     
    Game 601-602: Minnesota at Atlanta

    Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 106.344; Atlanta 112.201
    Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 168 1/2
    Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 172 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4 1/2); Under

    Game 603-604: Washington at San Antonio
    Dunkel Ratings: Washington 105.965; San Antonio 113.439
    Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 150 1/2
    Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 143
    Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6); Over

    Game 605-606: Sacramento at Chicago
    Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 108.256; Chicago 110.173
    Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 139 1/2
    Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7 1/2; 144
    Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+7 1/2); Under 

     
     
     
    WNBA LONG SHEET


    Tuesday, June 30
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    MINNESOTA (6 - 3) at ATLANTA (4 - 5) - 6/30/2009, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
     
    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons 
    ATLANTA is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons 
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 
     
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    WASHINGTON (4 - 3) at SAN ANTONIO (3 - 3) - 6/30/2009, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 163-211 ATS (-69.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 99-134 ATS (-48.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 101-134 ATS (-46.4 Units) after a division game since 1997.
     
    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons 
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons 
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 
     
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    SACRAMENTO (1 - 7) at CHICAGO (5 - 3) - 6/30/2009, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in June games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    SACRAMENTO is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
     
    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons 
    CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons 
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 
     
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    WNBA ADDITIONAL
     
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    Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets
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    Sacramento Monarchs at Chicago Sky (-7.5, 144)

    Even their worst offensive performance of the season couldn't keep the Chicago Sky from extending the best home start in franchise history. The WNBA's worst team may not be able to stop them, either.

    The Sky look to improve to 5-0 at the UIC Pavilion on Tuesday when they take on the Sacramento Monarchs, owners of the league's worst record.

    Chicago (5-3), which hasn't finished with a winning record in its first three seasons of existence, is in second place in the Eastern Conference, one game behind Indiana. Almost all of that success can be attributed to the Sky's play at home, where they improved to a franchise-record 4-0 on Saturday, beating Washington 68-63.

    The Sky won despite shooting a season-low 37.5 percent for the game, and scoring only eight points in the opening quarter. Candice Dupree led the way with 23 points, while Jia Perkins added 14 points and eight steals, and Sylvia Fowles had 13 points and 10 rebounds.

    "It's nice to have more than one player who likes to put the team on her back,'' Dupree said. "Syl had some huge rebounds and I was trying to crash the offensive boards. It was a total team effort.''

    Chicago's effort has been vastly improved at home, where it went 17-34 over its previous three seasons. The Sky are averaging fewer points at home (72.8) than on the road (79.3), but they are giving up an average of 26 fewer points at the UIC Pavilion.

    "This year we're more consistent (at home)," Fowles said. "Anytime last year it might have been 'Yeah, whatever,' but we're very focused this year and want to win."

    Fowles and the Sky could have an easy time against Sacramento (1-7), which is winless in five road games including the first three of its current five-game trip.

    The Monarchs average 72.4 points per game - fifth-fewest in the WNBA - and they've been held to 69.0 points on the road. Sacramento has also lost five in a row overall, including an 86-72 defeat at Detroit on Sunday. It closes this trip Thursday at Minnesota.

    Pick: Under 144


    Washington Mystics at San Antonio Silver Stars (-3, 146)

    Becky Hammon's return has given the San Antonio Silver Stars an immediate lift. Now she'll try to help the defending Western Conference champions move above .500 for the first time this season Tuesday night when they host the Washington Mystics.

    Hammon missed two games for San Antonio (3-3) earlier this month while playing with the Russian national team in the European women's championships. Without her, the Silver Stars suffered double-digit losses at New York and Connecticut.

    San Antonio has won both games since its leading scorer returned, beating Phoenix 91-87 last Tuesday and defeating Sacramento 62-52 on Friday. After scoring 19 points against the Mercury, Hammon had a season-high 26 on Friday to go with her five rebounds, six assists and five steals.

    "I thought Becky really thought the game out well, as she put us in some situations that were really good," Silver Stars coach Dan Hughes said.

    Hughes' team jumped out to a 20-7 lead at the end of the first quarter, but had to hold off a rally by Sacramento in the fourth. The Silver Stars shot only 39.7 percent, but outscored the Monarchs 13-3 at the free-throw line. Hammon was 10 of 10 at the line.

    Despite scoring fewer than 65 points for the fourth time this season, San Antonio is hoping Hammon's return will improve an offense which is among the league's worst at 69.0 points per game.

    Hammon averaged 24.0 points as the Silver Stars won both meetings last season with Washington (4-3).

    The Mystics were held below 75 points for the first time this year in their last game, falling 68-63 at Chicago on Saturday for their second straight loss following a 4-1 start.

    Pick: Under 146
     
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    • Post Points: 5
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