A nice double GOW win on the Rockies Monday - we were so confident we fired them Sunday night, and have a 3* GOW ready for Tuesday. Also, our 7/30 All-Access packages are discounted.
966 TAM / 965 ANAOVER 8 Pinnacle
Cubs/Giants: Lester and the Cubs are almost always over valued, but maybe not here. Cueto is a fly ball pitcher in the wrong park. He's had a lot of high pitch-count games lately, and his worst outings this season were Coors/Great American, two small parks. Most of this game is predicated on what happens Monday.
Rockies/Phillies: There's not much chance of fading Marquez or taking the Phillies bullpen.
Braves/Pirates: I thought maybe the Pirates would be the PDD (Public Disaster of the Day) on Monday - now it looks as if they really hate Glasnow more than I thought. Dickey threw 117 pitches last game which is a lot for even a knuckle ball pitcher and the Pirates hammered him this season. Knuckle ball pitchers can't adjust if they don't know where the ball is going, so there could be runs here and it wouldn't surprise me if Pittsburgh won this game.
Padres/Mets: The Mets struggles have been well-documented, as have Harvey's. He has has a quality start since mid-April which even against the Padres would preclude me from backing them. Chacin is somewhat more predictable and has been solid, but the Mets individually have hit him. I could make a reasonable argument for the over, especially if it comes down to 8, and could see taking the Padres RL. So far the Mets might be the PDA candidate for Tuesday.
Dodgers/Cardinals: There is just no chance of me laying -250 with Lance Lynn on the mound. I know all about Kerhsaw and I know all about the Cardinals injuries, but with Puig questionable and Turner, Eithier, and Forsythe out, it the Cardinals RL and under.
Twins/Orioles: At this point it seems like all that noise fading Ubaldo was BS. Bundy appears to be in full regression mode but the Twins haven't seen him which might make the O's F5 an easy bet to make. But, then there is Santana would COULD be in regression mode. Either that or he can't "p" clean. I like the F5 under as well.
Royals/Yankees: As I'm doing this the Royals are ahead, and I did warn people that New York wasn't an auto-bet there. They may win but Pineda cannot be trusted, and it's a tough spot for NY. Duffy has been nothing short of brilliant at keeping the ball in the park this season and the Royals saw Montgomery last week, making the Royals another potential uncool lean - I don't trust the Royals pen much, so a F5 might work - they probably won't have Alex Gordon (paternity leave) again.
Rays/Angels: Shoemaker and Cobb are almost mirror images of each other in the they are flyball pitchers - but in the Trop some might not make it to the fence. I don't really trust either one, but Cobb's last two starts were taxing from a pitch count standpoint. I think the Angels will get to him eventually - but the Rays get out first off Shoemaker, so until the bullpen usage is clear I lean Rays F5 here at least, and maybe over.
Rangers/Red Sox: I actually like Cashner's ability to keep the ball down, and I like the fact that the Rangers have seen a ton of Porcello, making Texas a very viable F5 bet. Perhaps even the RL for the game, really - it's going to be cheap with that total at 9.5 and you're always going to pay dearly for Boston and Porcello at home - I'll see what Kyle thinks. Oh, and KJC, I'll be at Fenway the week of June 11th I think.
Houston/Detroit: This is one time that I think perhaps based on the starters alone that Houston might actually be worth the price. Zimmerman is a fly ball pitcher, getting older, facing the wrong team in the wrong place. Unless something really stupid happens Monday, that's done.
Toronto/Milwaukee: I'm not sure I trust Nelson one bit after two taxing game, but it's not likely that Biagini is going deep - he hasn't yet, meaning Jays bullpen, which hasn't been very good. Take the DH away from a team that's not hitting with it and I can do nothing but think Milwaukee wins this game.
Arizona/White Sox: All I can think about is that if someone had told me the D-Backs would be -200 in two consecutive games I'd have taken that bet. Yes, Covey has not been very good, so I can't make a case for the White Sox RL here at all. I haven't made a ML parlay in some time (not always the highest and best use of $) but Arizona and Houston should both win.