The Theme of the Tournament has been OVERS. We saw OVERS go 23-8-1 on Thurs/Fri, and then the totals started inflating like crazy on many weekend games, but Sat/Sun games still went 8-7-1 to the OVER.
Given the 66% OVER trend, look for Totals the rest of the Tournament to be dealt high, and likely to get bid up higher. If you like an OVER, I would fire on it NOW. If you like an UNDER, I would wait for game day.......
NBA Power Rating Update: Not much of a change, a few teams with major adjustments like Phx, who appears to be in full tank mode:
I just updated all the teams. Check out the ratings (I show LAST week, and this week). Additionally, I have included HFA for select teams. To get a projected spread, take the difference and add in HFA. Note, if the calculated spread is above 10, you need to bring it down a bit, to reflect the fact the 4th quarter will likely be evenly played if a team is up double digits......
What do you guys think? What team do I have that is off?
HFA (Most Teams use 3):
Higher HFA (4): Gst, LAL*, OKC, Por, Clev, Det,
Lower HFA (2): Den, Sac, Brook, NY
*The Lakers play MUCH better at home, this could well just be because they are tanking, and they do so much more on the road THIS year.......
|
3 /13 |
3/20 |
Dallas |
1 |
0 |
Denver |
0 |
0 |
G state |
8 |
8.5 |
Hou |
6.5 |
6.5 |
LA CLIPS |
5 |
4.5 |
LAL |
-9.5 |
-9.5 |
Mem |
1 |
2 |
MIN |
0.5 |
0.5 |
NEW ORL |
-1 |
0 |
OKC |
1 |
2 |
PHX |
-5.5 |
-7.5 |
POR |
-1.5 |
-0.1 |
SAC |
-7.5 |
-7 |
SA |
6 |
7 |
UT |
4.5 |
4.5 |
|
|
|
ATL |
1.5 |
0.5 |
BOST |
4.5 |
4.5 |
Brook |
-8.5 |
-8.5 |
CHRL |
-1 |
-2 |
CHIC |
-2 |
-1.5 |
CLEV |
4.5 |
4.5 |
DET |
0.5 |
0.5 |
IND |
0.5 |
0 |
MIA |
1 |
1 |
MIL |
1.5 |
1.5 |
NY |
-6.5 |
-6.5 |
ORL |
-6 |
-6 |
PHIL- |
-5.5 |
-4 |
TOR |
1.5 |
2 |
WASH |
3 |
2.5 |