Attached are my updated power ratings on every team, showing their rating to start the year, along with their rating last week, and their current rating. Additionally, I show each team's Home Field Advantage (a blank HFA indicates use 2.5). To calculate a spread, take the difference between the teams, and adjust for HFA. Note, if your calculated point spread is above 7, it typically requires a small adjustment downward, to reflect the 4th quarter of most of these games being more of a pk'm type situation.
|
6-Sep |
19-Oct |
26-Oct |
HFA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Arizona |
5 |
3.5 |
3 |
|
|
Atlanta |
-1.5 |
4 |
3.5 |
|
|
Baltimore |
1 |
-0.5 |
-2 |
|
|
Buffalo |
0 |
0 |
-0.5 |
|
|
Carolina |
6 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
Chicago |
-2.5 |
-2 |
-3.5 |
2 |
Cutler |
Cincy |
3.5 |
1.5 |
2 |
3 |
|
Cleveland |
-7.5 |
-8.5 |
-9 |
|
Kessler |
Dallas |
-1.5 |
3 |
3.5 |
1.5 |
|
Denver |
0.5 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
|
|
Detroit |
-2 |
-2.5 |
-2 |
|
|
Green Bay |
5.5 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
4 |
|
Houston |
1 |
-1 |
-2 |
|
|
Indy |
-0.5 |
-1.5 |
-1 |
|
|
Jax |
-2 |
-2 |
-3.5 |
1.5 |
|
KC |
3 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
3 |
|
LA |
-2.5 |
-2 |
-1.5 |
|
|
Mia |
-1.5 |
-3.5 |
-0.5 |
1.5 |
|
Minny |
0 |
5.5 |
3.5 |
4 |
|
NEW Eng |
1.5 |
9 |
10 |
4 |
|
New Orl |
-3 |
-2 |
-2 |
|
|
NYG |
-1 |
1 |
0.5 |
2 |
|
NYJ |
0 |
-4.5 |
-3 |
2 |
|
Oakland |
0.5 |
-1 |
0.5 |
|
|
Philly |
-5 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|
Pit |
5 |
0 |
-0.5 |
|
Jones |
SD |
-1.5 |
-1 |
1 |
1.5 |
|
SF |
-7 |
-9 |
-10 |
2 |
|
Sea |
5.5 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
|
Tampa |
0 |
-2 |
-0.5 |
2 |
|
Ten |
-3 |
-2 |
-2.5 |
2 |
|
Wash |
-0.5 |
0 |
-0.5 |
|
|
What do you guys think? What teams am I off on?
On the capping front, my 1st NFL play is UP, and I will be releasing more NFL and CFB plays this morning! Stay tuned!
http://bit.ly/1dO56ZY