And we've got a 3* going early today - and a max-bet Triple Dime NFL tomorrow - we're 8-2 in the NFL and already up over 15 units.
342 W. Michigan-7.0 (-110) Pinnacle vs 341 Ga. Southn |
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Analysis: Georgia Southern has been one of my go-to teams for a bit - but not here. Typically people had a hard time defending that spread option offense - but not so much lately. They only put up 23 on UL Monroe at home, and only 24 at South Alabama this season. If they get behind it's very tough for them to come back, not unlike a team like Navy. There's HUGE revenge here as last year in Statesboro they pounded Western Michigan, 43-17. WMU has played a much tougher schedule, beating two Big 10 teams (Illinois and Northwestern). Yes, they are not the elite of the Big 10 - but they're not supposed to lose to Western Michigan, either - and BOTH games for WMU were on the road. I do get that now WMU is somewhat trendy and there's typically some regression, but I don't think we get that here, especially factoring in last years' game. WMU is 12th in the nation holding opponents to only a 24% third down conversion rate, and remember they played "better" teams. WMU is +1.5 in turnover margin per game - so there should be even more opportunities for WMU - who won't let up - hence I can justify laying the points here.
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And here's what some people might be playing today at terrible numbers, simply because of the line moves - I don't necessarily disagree -
Syracuse at -3 or less when +6 (or more) was out there.
Washington -14 (your 'bail out' game) when -10 was available.
Wisconsin +3.5 (or teased) when much better has been there.
There are more -