Nice win for us on the Patriots last night and we move on to Friday - with big plays already loaded for CFB and the NFL.
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979 ARI1.5 (-115) Pinnacle vs 980 BAL |
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Analysis: The Orioles are reeling after getting swept by Boston, at home, and they played last night. Arizona had the night off. Yes indeed, we're counting on Shelby Miller a bit here, but Baltimore hasn't see him - and the D-Backs saw PLENTY of Gallardo when he was in the National League. Gallardo has quietly been just as bad as Miller, going 1-6 over his last seven starts (team record) and sporting a WHIP of 1.60 - I don't care what offense is behind you, that's not someone I'm going to lay -190 with - even WITH the Orioles bullpen, many of whom had to throw last night. I am ALSO going to play the OVER - if Arizona can get four runs off of Gallardo - we cannot lose both bets - not to mention the weather is clear as a bell and faily mild.
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TCU/SMU - The money to date in on SMU, and PART of me wonders if that's not simply buying a "number", or anything over 21, since it hasn't dropped below that. Clearly we know that TCU has some issues by comparison to prior years, but this is a TOUGH spot for them since it's they're first road game and they've got the Sooners next week. Not that the Sooners are all that - however. TCU allowed 41 points at home to South Dakota State - so I just cannot lay three scores with them on the road. Although SMU lost by 19 at TCU last season, they DID put up 37 points.
EMU/Wyoming - A game people will bet on because it's "football" and an early start. I do think, especially after Missouri played UGA (who sucks) tough, that we can almost throw that 61-21 game out, ALMOST. I'm not sure how Wyoming goes from a two-win team to a road favorite over anyone, aside from the fact that they were pounded by EMU at home last season. If this were AT Wyoming, maybe I could convince myself - which would make them a touchdown favorite - but there are better games, and EMU or nothing, IMO.
USC/Utah: The Utes are not the team they were last season - so people lining up to fade SoCal could be a bit of an over reaction to SoCal's 'Bama drubbing and loss to Stanford. Both of those teams could well be in the Final Four, so I cannot discount the competition these teams have faced to date. The other reason to TAKE Utah is the revenge from a bad loss at SoCal last season, but one would think that the line would be higher, and IMO it's not for a reason.