Great NFL start for us - once I go through more box scores - I'll edit this as well.
Tennessee/Detroit: Lions give one away two or three times yet still win on the road, which should give them confidence and a lesson in putting teams away when you can. Tennessee plays Minnesota about as well as could be expected, and the line opens -5 probably to let the market set the tone early, since it's typically a dead #, but less so with the new rules on XP's. The total of 47 might be low, but IMO closes higher.
Chiefs/Houston: Last year Kansas City beat the Texans in week one pretty badly, in Houston. I remember most of my losses. Houston clearly does as well. The Chiefs expended a ton of energy winning that game over the Chargers - Houston opens -1/-2 which isn't unexpected - I do think they win the game.
Miami/New England: The Fish almost always play New England tough - if there's any extra motivation for NE it's losing at Miami last year when they had a chance to clinch HFA in the AFC. Indeed the Fish played tough at Seattle - but that's a fair bit of travel for them back to South Florida and up to New England. It almost doesn't matter what NE does against AZ, and if they really play poorly like people expect with Gronk, they're may be some value to the Pats when the line comes out.
Baltimore/Cleveland: Almost by default the Ravens open as 6.5 point favorites, simply because they can't (won't) open -7 and they've got to be more than -4. I don't have the respect for the Ravens yet to lay these points, and certainly don't have the inclination to take the points - but assuredly I won't lay those points on the road in the NFL. And as I type the +6.5's are disappearing. Bet early or bet late.
Pittsburgh/Cincinnati: This is one game I might like the over on. The Bengals put up a ton of yards, Green had 180 receiving and I do not know that the Steelers can stop that from happening again. We'll see how the Steelers fare Monday night - but obviously a short week. Have to look back at last season, but expect that barring a Steelers meltdown Monday that they'll open as -2.5 point favorites, which might have been less had the Bengals done what many expected them to do at New York.
Dallas/Washington: I do like Prescott and perhaps the best thing I did Sunday was not take the Cowboys, which would have been at a bad number. We'll see what the Skins look like Monday, but watching Dez's antics yet again and watching Williams NOT go out of bounds late is a red flag.
More Monday -