GIANTS (Bumgarner) at PIRATES (Locke)
Take: GIANTS -1.5 -115
Two teams in completely opposite directions here. The Giants have won eight straight, the Pirates have lost five in a row and are 1-11 in their last 12. So it’s pretty obviously a spot where it’s Giants or pass, as I have no desire to fade the hot favorite nor try to score with the ice cold dog. Adding in the pitching makes it a play on the big chalk side.
Madison Bumgarner is in great form, and that’s something I doubt I’ve ever said about Jeff Locke. A lot of the team data is pretty close as far as the overall data goes, but not surprisingly, the current form favors the San Francisco side. There’s even the small scheduling bonus, with the Pirates traveling home after playing the Sunday night game.
There isn’t any line value here, as laying a runs line and not getting an underdog price is definitely not what would be termed a sharp move. But I’m getting an elite #1 starter against a guy who’s actually not even a #5 on his numbers, and the team form pushed this one into the play column for me. I’ll rely on MadBum and will spot the -1.5 with the Giants.
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