Well, do with it as you will because as most of you know I am about 1-50 in the last week - however, life does go on.
972 BAL (-125) Greek vs 971 TOR |
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Analysis: Sorry for not getting this out at a better number - I see the number has come back a bit, which you expect with "Toronto", I suppose. The majority of tickets are on the Orioles (it's early - but I don't see that changing) and obviously I agree. Ubaldo has only given up one bomb in 12 innings, he's struck out 14, and for the most part has kept the ball down. Bautista has two hits in thirty at bats against him, and Edwin has six hits in thirty-two at bats - which are "reasonable" sample sizes. There's a few Jays (Colabello for one) that have had SOME success in limited at bats - but bottom line is that Jiminez the last three years against Toronto is 5-3 with a 2.83 ERA. We'll take that, and although I don't like that he can get his pitch count high (less likely here at the Jays are usually free swingers), Baltimore's bullpen is that much better than Toronto's. The O's are 5-1 at home with a bullpen WHIP of 1.02 (excellent). Dickey has a WHIP nearing 2.00 in three games and hasn't pitched past the fifth inning in any of them. He's walked 8 in 14 innings. Adam Jones may not play but that's fine since he's hitting .120 off Dickey. The Jays' killers will (might) be Machado and Trumbo. If Dickey doesn't last (as he hasn't been) the Jays bullpen has a 4.66 ERA on the road and has already blown two saves. Brett Cecil pitched the last two nights and might not be available, and they saw Osuna last night, whereas the Orioles used NONE of their "A" team out of the pen. Just way too many ways the Orioles win this game -
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