The Lions have been playing much better football ever since they got a new offensive coordinator. They have won 4-out of their last 6-games and it really should be 5-of 6 when you consider the way in which they lost to The Packers. The 49'ers have been bad and I still rate them as the worst team in the NFL but they did outgain Cincinnati last week and also held The Bengals to just 242-yards on offense, a season low mark for Cincy.
So, I feel this is another situation in which we are getting line value based on the perception of The Lions being much improved and San Francisco still being a doormat. I actually made the line 5 and it opened at 8.5. We've seen it jump into double digits but is settling in back toward the opening number.
My math has Detroit winning this game by 3-or-4 points and while that could certainly turn into 6, 7, or 8-points, I don't see The Lions reaching a double digit margin of victory. The Lions have not been good after winning on Monday Night, going just 2-and-7 ATS and Matthew Stafford has been at his worst in the month of December. going 1-and-10 ATS as a favorite.
There are not great mismatches to point out in this contest but I feel the line is too high and the situation favors The 49'ers. I'll take the points, especially at +10 or better.
Thank you and Have fun,
Brady Kannon
@lasvegasgolfer