Still up 90+ marbles in 2015 and a significant of MLB marbles - second half still stuck in Lodi but if that's as bad as my betting life ever gets, I'll be one happy camper. A nice sweep for us on Monday and a Triple Dime GOW (72%) going Tuesday.
We bet this earlier this morning, but if I thought it would go over 8 then it should go over 8.5.....
968 CWS / 967 ANAOVER 8 Greek
Mets-Rockies: No real value here because I can't make a legitimate case for Colorado. Rusin can be respectable and does keep the ball down, but even if he' at his very best he typically doesn't go more than six innings, and we know Harvey should be good for more than that - so even IF things stay close, there's no doubt in a close game late at home, we'd expect the Mets to win, and of course there's the bullpen disadvantage the Rockies have to begin with.
Milwaukee-Cubs: I am always looking for reasons to back Jungmann, so let's see. Milwaukee stopped hitting against the Cardinals, and two series' before that were swept at home by these Cubs, so if the Brewers have ANY self-worth and/or reason to "pick it up" for one game, this could be it. I've long held the belief that Haren's success in Miami was ballpark related (he's a flyball pitcher) so based on Wrigley alone this may be one of the underdogs that has a chance.
Pirates-Cardinals: I've been watching Martinez carefully given his youth and the fact that he's already exceeded any amount of innings in a season by a landslide. We talked about it during the break, and since the AS game he has been a lot more hittable, save a game against Atlanta. Sadly for my thought of taking the Pirates, Locke has been off since the break as well. Tough to fade a 41-16 team at home, but the Pirates at +135 seems like a reasonable deal. Part of me thinks perhaps the Pirates are just a confident team right now. Cardinals bullpen has been dominant of late and so has Pittsburgh's. If that total came to 7 I can see both teams getting to three at some point, and might entertain the over since the Pirates have been hitting, but conversely they've given up 10+ hits in 7 of the last 11 games. St. Louis lost two series' at Pittsburgh this year, and swept them at home back in May, but they were much healthier back then, and all three games we low-scoring, one-run, games.
Phillies-D-Backs: With Buchanan pitching the D-Backs are probably favored by more than they should be. Hellickson has been pretty solid, much to my surprise, until recently. And he threw 104 pitches (a lot for him) in 4.2 innings last week, so that's never something I want my money on. No chance of taking Arizona here.
Washington-Dodgers: I laughed when I saw Grienke at only -180 after being -280 at Philadelphia last week, and giving up six runs. Ross is starting to show SOME signs of vulnerability, perhaps as team get more looks at him. We'll see what happens in the Monday game, since they always have bearing on the next one. The Dodgers will clearly be in a better spot having had a day back in their own beds. Either way and based on what Washington has NOT been able to do with Grienke, I think we're looking at a low scoring Dodgers win. Can't back their bullpen, Grienke can hit, first five under looks solid til LA gets a second and third look at Ross.
Padres-Reds: Doubtful I want much to do with either of these teams going forward. Colin Rea makes his majoe league debut for the Padres. He had a great AA season at San Antonio, not great in six starts at AA El Paso, appears to be able to keep the ball in the park. Lorezen is all over the map, usually closer to the North side and being someone I can't back, so Padres if you made me.
Toronto-Oakland: Not too many people want to get in the way of the Blue Jays, especially at home. But, Hutchinson is a flyball pitcher who can give it up and is clearly the weakest link in that chain. With that in mind if there ever was a time, this could be it. Toronto just pounded the sh*t out of Graveman in Oakland, so maybe he'll make some adjustments. Probably not enough, but because I do expect Oakland to score, I'll look at the over.
Will finish later - and add a free play - later.