Sorry last night on UC Davis Guys, my free play - Stunned they lost by double digits.
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Miami @ New Orleans
Antonio Davis being out is a big blow to the Pelicans, however Miami needed OT to beat lowly Orlando in their last game, and no Bosh is a big blow to Miami. Both teams playing with one hand behind their back without their best players on the floor. New Orleans just beat Miami by 14 points as a 2 point pup on the Feb. 21, and now are a home dog? This line perplexes me and scares me because it looks to good to be true, and that usually is a go against scenario. I have been impressed by the play of Quincy Pondexter for the Pelicans. Both teams are using plug in players , and Miami has signed some players on short contracts while they find some chemistry and the trade getting Dragic is paying off so far, he has averaged 14 ppg the last 3 games and Chalmers has even stepped up for the Heat.
All that said, there are no explosive players on the floor and Miami is a serious UNDER bet on the road this year going 21-9 ATS on the unders on the road, and only scoring 92 ppg on the road this season. BUT HANG ON BOYS! All trends usually reverse and even out at some point, and looking at the recent trend angles, this series has OVER written all over it, as well as tonight's contest.
These two scored 196 in their last game 6 days ago, the Over in this series at New Orleans is 9-2 the last 11, and 5-1 on the OVER in this series last 6 meetings overall, Miami is 4-0 on Overs after a ATS loss, and New Orleans is 7-0 on Overs their last 7 games on 1 day rest, and they also are 5-1 on Overs in their last 6 games overall. New Orleans offense is clicking even without Davis their last 5 games, and while I see a tight game tonight, I also see both teams exceeding the 196 Las Vegas line and I have this one to come in at 201 on my power ratings which is a 5 point overlay. The side play in my opinion is a coin toss.
FREE Pro Pick on the OVER 196 – Griz / Heat tonight.
Off a rare loss last night and on a solid 8-3 run headed into the weekend with all hoops plays, Cash out my Totals Best bet Winner tonight in the NBA on TGIF. Get paid twice today!