Analysis: Hate laying points, but with Michigan not having either Walton or LeVert, Indiana should crush them. First off, if for no other reason than the fact that the Hoosiers will run, and Michigan is almost as inexperienced as Indiana and without those two, probably just too thin off the bench to keep up for 40 minutes. For as young as Indiana is, they don't turn the ball over. Michigan, even with a full compliment of players, relies almost entirely on the three ball, which Indiana defends well. Yes, perhaps all this is built into the number, but it should matter. Albrecht and Irvin can't win the game alone. Their only road wins even with a healthy team were at Penn State (who can't score) and Rutgers (who can't score). Indiana can, and will actually be favored in all the rest of their games except at Maryland. So, they could easily wind up the #2 or #3 seed in the Conference Tournament. They let Iowa shoot 70% last game, and before that were taken to OT by the Spartans. They've got to be tired and, well, thinking about next year, IMO. Not even a good coach can get past that, and I think Bellien is a better recruiter than a coach. Hoosiers haven't lost at home since the Eastern Washington game in November. Spartans haven't defended the perimeter well this season, and if they get in ANY sort of foul trouble, this is a boatrace. A much better Michigan team lost in Bloomington by 11 or so last year, and in the Big Ten teams tend to pour it on when they can. Michigan doesn't rebound well at all, meaning every missed three is a potental fast break. I'd love to take the inflated line, but I can. Love to have had +7, but I don't. I'd use them in a ML parlay for sure.
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