Just working and wanted to share one or our bets tonight. We have more if anyone wants the 3* play, which most seem to migrate to, one way or the other.
524 Wis.-Milwaukee 1.5 (-110) BetOnline vs 523 Wright St |
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Analysis: I thought about playing this one as an after-thought, but the 1* "afterthoughts" have beed solid lately. Big reason here is that Wright's Power Forward JT Yoho is OUT tonight, He's going to be replaced, more than likely, by Grant Benzinger, who is not only a Freshman but is three inches shorter. That should give Springs and/or Wichmann a huge advantage inside. Yes, we can look at Milwaukee's W/L record and say "how could we". But, we also need to factor in the SOS that Milwaukee played and the fact that they ALSO played five straight road games before coming home to play GB, They did lose to GB but looked good doing it. They shot 51% from inside and got to the line a lot. GB is a very good team. Then they looked GREAT against Youngstown. Yes, the Penguins suck, but Milwaukee did exactly what they were supposed to. For years Wright has been a team I don't like on the road, and now take away Yoho's 35 +/- minutes per game and that also make a small team even smaller. Milwaukee won't lack for confidence. They beat Wright at home LY and beat them in the Horizon league Finals. Were Yoho not out, that would be a deal breaker, but he's out. This should be a lower scoring game, and Milwaukee has the FT shooting advantage and is at home. Got to fire on what's a softer number because Wright is the more public team. Even this time of day (3:15PM) there are 2000+ tickets on the game (which is a lot for a sh*tty game during the week) and almost 90% are on Wright yet the early Wright money has long since been over shadowed by Milwaukee money, which should mean "they" know what "we" know. We have no secrets to hide in the way we go about things. We've got a lot of LT clients, but hardly enough that the books worry about what we do. Nor do we want them to! If anyone else wants to add their card, go for it.
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3:40PM-Probably done, but if anyone wants MORE games I do like Rutgers. I just tweeted, but for those that don't read/have Twitter, Wolverines have too many nagging injuries or players that may sit tonight. -3.5 is fine w/me.