Has the market over-reacted to one half of football?
Sea was installed as a -3-105 favorite over the Patriots when the Pats were up 17-7 vs. Indy. Then literally WITH EACH NE TD in the 2nd half, the line moved.
NE at Pinny went to +3-115....then +3-120 then +3-125 then +2.5, +2, and rode all the way down to pkm. (I rounded the numbers here, bet each score was moving the line 5 to 7 cents).
Now the key question. We have to assess, is this an obvious over-reaction to one half of football? OR is it a proper adjustment as NE clearly has shown themselves to be at least on par with Seattle?
One cannot ignore the hidden HFA for Sea.....last year IN NEW YORK CITY, the place was full of Seahawk fans....hard to think they aren't ALL gonna be coming to the desert to back their team again. Will the faithful Pats fan travel as much, especially off two SB losses? NOTHING discourages a fan than to drop 3-5k on a trip to watch their team LOSE......it makes for a big dropoff in the demand curve. Figure the stadium to be 75-80 percent Sea with the geography......
My SB EARLY BIRD package is up, 1st picks go up LATER, but lock in the great price, as we have been on an NFL heater 42-19 since 12/1.
My MLK NBA package is UP. I have two Rock Solid totals. 42-17 NBA YTD
http://bit.ly/1dO56ZY