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NBA Pick: 505 Cleveland Cavaliers @ 506 Brooklyn Nets
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Over 196 (Play up to 198)
Odds: -110 / 1.91 on Pinnacle Sports OR -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker OR -108 / 1.93 on Matchbook
The main reason why I believe this game will be a high scoring one has to do with the absence of both Brook Lopez and Joe Johnson tonight. These two players are ball hoggers, who really make the whole decision process of the Nets' offense too slow and also quite predictable. With them, Brooklyn's offense will surprise in here, with Deron being the main focus of the team's offense, which is a good idea as Cleveland's defense with Irving guarding Deron will struggle. Deron will certainly penetrate a lot into the basket and this is exactly where the Cavs' defense is struggling big time this season: stop the opposing dribble penetrations.
On the other hand, Cleveland's offense will have plenty of edges in here against a slow Brooklyn defense, especially on quick transitions and also in the mismatches that Lebron and Irving will have in here on offense. Therefore, I expect this game to be a high scoring game and so, I'll take the Over in here.