NBA Free Premium Play for Today:
NBA Pick: 509 Houston Rockets @ 510 Milwaukee Bucks
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Milwaukee Bucks (-3.5) (Play up to -4.5)
Odds: -108 / 1.93 on Pinnacle Sports OR -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker OR -109 / 1.92 on Matchbook
Detailed Write Up:
This is a terrible spot for Houston, as they will be without Howard, Jones, Beverley and Canaan tonight. This means that they will have to play without their starting center, their starting PF, their starting PG and their backup PG! The Rockets managed to win games without most of these players, but they were home games against teams in poor spots. As soon as they faced a team that wasn't in a poor spot, they got crushed at home by the Clippers last night.
Now at Milwaukee, things don't look good at all for Houston. The Rockets need to score both near the rim and from the outside, but without any scoring punch on the frontcourt and with their main PG's out of this game, it will all come to Harden's hands once again. This destroys Houston's ball movement and they end up attempting a lot of treys and also missing a lot of those as well. Last night was another example of that with 10-37 3pts!
The Bucks have a good rim defense led by Sanders and they will have a huge depth edge in tonight's game. With both teams on a back to back spot, this will be extremely important. The Bucks saw their second unit dominate last night's game against Detroit with 69 points scored, over 66% of the points scored by the team! Jason Kidd has been very smart in how to manage the team's rotation and this is why they can make a lot of damage on these spots. This is why I expect Milwaukee to have a comfortable win tonight and so, I'll take them in here.
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