MUST get in tonight w/this one,
Probably have little time before Steam re-corrects number
Virginia Commonwealth at George Mason
Gotta hand it to G Mason to this point
This team has made it to 10-3 in Conf
Often starting FOUR Underclassmen
3 Soph
1 Frosh
Along w/CAA #4 scorer, Cam Long (Jr)
G Mas rec largely fueled by 7-Gm Win Streak
Fact is, Patriots streak also filled w/Lower 1/3 D-1 RPI Tms
G Mas has dropped 2x S-U
And hasn't covered a Gm in last FOUR
G Mas Underrated PG, WHACK
(not making that up)
Lock-Down Point is still limited w/Injury
Honestly believe G Mason is OVER-VALUED here
VCU: #25 O-PPP / #87 D-PPP
G Mas: #157 O-PPP / #161 D-PPP
VCU is better in nearly every OFF & DEF Category
VCU has at least FOUR Key Indiv. Match-up advantages
VCU usually STARTS 4 EXP Jr & 1 Soph
VCU's KEY Advantage is Down Low:
VCU L Sanders vs G Mason's Morrison
G Mason Poor 3-pt shooting HAS
Coincided w/their last 4 Gms, & 0-3-1 ATS Rec
23.0%
29.4%
23.0%
29.4%
23.5% (1-pt cover)
VCU is weak shooting from Deep, esp lately
6 of Rams last 8 shot 33.7 or lower 3-pt%
Yet it hasn't appeared to matter
Since VCU is choking teams defensively
Including VCU ONLY Conf Loss vs NE
VCU Pt's alwd:
58
60
62
53
74 (L, 1st Place Northeastern)
59
69
68
64
Considering Rams are TOP TEMPO TM in CAA
63 PPG Allowed is very solid
ALL VCU L's but ONE are in Conf
(OOC 1-pt L to Rhode Island)
VCU started 1-3 Conf, BEEN on 8-1 TEAR Since, as proj on 1/6
(ONLY LOSS to Sizzling 1st PLACE NE)
VCU's MARGIN last 4 Conf Gms:
+12
+13
+16
+49
G Mason tempo in lowest qrtr of CAA
While VCU is of course the QUICKEST Tm in Conf
Rams have MORE success v LOW PACE Tms
Whilst G Mason appears to have issues w/HIGH paced Tms
FINALLY,
CAA STANDINGS:
VCU 9-4, inexplicably behind
G Mason 10-3 (& ODU, NE at 11-2)
YET,
VCU'S CONF GM MARGIN: +10.8
GEORGE MASON MARGIN: +0.8
VCU Power Rated #43 / G Mason #157,
VCU JUST -2 at G Mason?
VCU Rams at just -2 is SUPER VALUE
2 UNITS
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH -2 at GEORGE MASON
Should have play w/Indiana State at Creighton
if & when line makes 1 last small twist.
For what it's worth