I was hung over for most of the day (still am), so I'm quite hesitant on a short card today. I absolutely love ONE wager, but something in the numbers is scaring me a little bit.....

Bear with me...for a sec....

Ok Boys: Tony Gillenwater didn't play in the last meeting, and this guy came in for 21 minutes and scored 19 points on Saturday (SJO ST).....6'8" 240.......adding to the potential foul problems for the Tech Center......

New Mexico State -2 (-110) at Bookmaker for 10-Stars

The King Maker:

Ok Boys: Tony Gillenwater didn't play int he last meeting, and this guy came in for 21 minutes and scored 19 points on Saturday.....6'8" 240.......adding to the potential foul problems for the Tech Center......

 

New Mexico State -2 (-110) at Bookmaker for 10-Stars

Pretty Big "HINGE" plays on this one, ok?

80% chance for foul trouble on the Lone Big Man for Tech.....

Good luck King.

Love the play but why is the line so low.  aggies beat them by 14 at their place.  And now get another good player back so why only 2 points?

The real scare in this matchup came for me in the rebounding category, but I'll show you a little trick in rebound analysis that many of you might know, but most may not employ...the folks baking Tech are just blinded by the "surface noise" or they might be thinking revenge....

Simple Rule:High shooting percentages yield lower rebounding numbers and crappy shooting percentages raise rebounding numbers

So when you see that Tech outrebounded NMST in that beatdown the other day, you might take a pause and move toward backing the team that's heading into revenge, or simply the team that you think is being undervalued.

High shooting percentages against an opponent find causes in the following areas:

*Bad Allignment mismatches: In this case we have 3 strong interior time consumers for State that will drive the monster Center for Tech out of relevance, or clamp him in. This will eventually send  the 4 spinning guards off their axis and send them into a low-percentage nightmare.

OR

*Tempo tendencies: Getting past a GUARD-Heavy defensive team means that you need to push the tempo and get PAST that frontal wall. This means that you juice up the tempo and seek the low percentage shots with your numerous frontcourt options.

New Mexico State possesses both tendencies but the "surface noise" shows a lower rebounding number and more shots taken by Tech so the "noise hounds" will take the underdog with the "percieved" better defense. There were less offensive rebounds for State because there we're less misses on that end, and there were more rebounds for Tech on Defense because they were shooting lower percentage shots due to the imbalance in the paint. Bricks lead to more rebounds in a lot of cases.

TECH shot 27 three pointers in the last game!!!!!! HMMMMMM?

SO, STRUCTURALLY SPEAKING, we have a calculated EXPECTANCY of a lower percentage outing for Tech, so this gives us a great deal of hope in terms of catching a home team on such a low digit!

I'm pretty sure that State will drag Tech around the court tonight, and I think we can get to Magnum Rolle.

best of luck today buddy! Looking forward to talking with you on the phone sooner rather than later!

March is right around the corner!

 The line is not strange when you consider:

1. La Tech has been in 1st place a majority of the WAC season

2. Line was La Tech -10 1/2 against NMSU in their first meeting.

The King Maker:

The real scare in this matchup came for me in the rebounding category, but I'll show you a little trick in rebound analysis that many of you might know, but most may not employ...the folks baking Tech are just blinded by the "surface noise" or they might be thinking revenge....

Simple Rule:High shooting percentages yield lower rebounding numbers and crappy shooting percentages raise rebounding numbers

So when you see that Tech outrebounded NMST in that beatdown the other day, you might take a pause and move toward backing the team that's heading into revenge, or simply the team that you think is being undervalued.

 

High shooting percentages against an opponent find causes in the following areas:

*Bad Allignment mismatches: In this case we have 3 strong interior time consumers for State that will drive the monster Center for Tech out of relevance, or clamp him in. This will eventually send  the 4 spinning guards off their axis and send them into a low-percentage nightmare.

 

OR

*Tempo tendencies: Getting past a GUARD-Heavy defensive team means that you need to push the tempo and get PAST that frontal wall. This means that you juice up the tempo and seek the low percentage shots with your numerous frontcourt options.

 

New Mexico State possesses both tendencies but the "surface noise" shows a lower rebounding number and more shots taken by Tech so the "noise hounds" will take the underdog with the "percieved" better defense. There were less offensive rebounds for State because there we're less misses on that end, and there were more rebounds for Tech on Defense because they were shooting lower percentage shots due to the imbalance in the paint. Bricks lead to more rebounds in a lot of cases.

TECH shot 27 three pointers in the last game!!!!!! HMMMMMM?

 

SO, STRUCTURALLY SPEAKING, we have a calculated EXPECTANCY of a lower percentage outing for Tech, so this gives us a great deal of hope in terms of catching a home team on such a low digit!

I'm pretty sure that State will drag Tech around the court tonight, and I think we can get to Magnum Rolle.

Kevin,

NMSU matches up very well inside with La Tech.  The Aggies have been great the past few weeks and I have backed them repeatedly.  With all that said, I haven't looked at this game close enough but I don't see anything that would cause me to bet La Tech.  GL with the play.