Sunday, October 19
Jaguars plus 6 hosting Browns
The winless Jaguars are in the running with the Raiders and Buccaneers for worst team in the NFL. But this is an ideal spot for Jacksonville.
The Browns are off one of their most satisfying victories in a long while - beating Pittsburgh 31-10 this past week at home. Up next for Cleveland is home games against the Raiders and Buccaneers. So this is a real letdown, flat spot for the Browns.
Cleveland has been overachieving on offense and doesn't have the defense to cover a road spread this high without playing well. The Browns' talent level is just marginal. The Browns rank 29th in total defense and 30th against the run. Cleveland also suffered a key injury last week losing star center Alex Mack for the season. That weakens the Browns' offensive line.
The Jaguars are inexperienced offensively, but have a promising quarterback and the team hasn't quit on Gus Bradley. The Steelers' game last week was Cleveland's only matchup of the season that was decided by more than three points.
This is the NFL. Timing means everything. The time is ripe for Jacksonville.
In addition to this selection, I have a Triple Star play going today along with my Sunday Night Game of the Month in the 49ers-Broncos matchup. I am 30-19-1 on my last 50 Triple Stars. The plays can be found here: /pregamepros/pro-bettor/bettor.aspx?id=7746#capper.
As always, no bad luck!