Sunday, Oct. 12
Patriots minus 2 1/2 at Bills
If we learned anything last week about New England it's that the Patriots still can blow out good teams.
Buffalo is not a good team. The Bills were fortunate to beat the Lions when Detroit missed three field goals and Calvin Johnson was sidelined. That has made the Bills an overrated commodity. Kyle Orton is a career backup and not comparable to Tom Brady.
The Bills have an underrated defense and solid special teams. But so do the Patriots. The Patriots are much more dangerous offensively now that Rob Gronkowski is close to 100 percent again.
New England holds a psychological edge, too, on the Bills with Brady under center. The Patriots are 22-2 versus the Bills when Brady plays.
Too much pseudo wise guy thought is going into this matchup. The bottom line here is there remains a class different. The Patriots are still at least one level higher than Buffalo.
The Patriots regained their confidence and swagger blowing out the Bengals last week. They aren't going to regress in this matchup.
In addition to this free selection, I have my Triple Star NFL Game of the Week going today along with two over/under plays. I am 27-17-1 on my last 45 Triple Stars for 61 percent and 36-24-1 on my last 61 NFL over/unders for 60 percent. These plays can be found here: /pregamepros/pro-bettor/bettor.aspx?id=7746#capper.
As always, no bad luck!