It’s Wise Guy Wednesday, featuring a rundown of where the pro dough is heading thus far for the upcoming week of college action. Comments included are from contacts here in Nevada, as well as offshore and from major stateside shops where this still isn’t quite legal.
Early money has shown on 107 UCLA but the consensus seems to be that this is a false move and there will be substantial push on Arizona State on game day.
The betting public is down on 116 Michigan but the Wolverines are drawing serious dollars. This game opened as low as -7, so the train has left the station if you’re angling to play the favorite.
Square/sharp battle looming in the Big 12 with the pros backing big dog 120 Iowa State. The public is very reluctant to play against monster offenses like Baylor, so this line move is all sharp.
Pros and Joes alike seem to like 124 Virginia this week. Or rather, they simply don’t like poor Kent State. One of my east coast guys told me he has yet to write even one wager on the Golden Flashes.
Good sized move in 130 Pittsburgh, but my info is that it’s not important money. More likely, it’s players who won fading Akron last week and are trying to beat the Zips again this week.
Nothing much happening yet on 135 Northwestern, but a couple of my contacts believe the Wildcats will get syndicate action between now and Saturday.
Lots of action on surging 144 Boston College, but it’s not sharp cash. My contact back in New England said he’s totally lopsided on the Eagles, which is not surprising.
When a MAC dog gets hit early it’s almost invariably sharp, and that’s the case this week with 145 Miami Ohio.
Substantial dollars showed up early on 149 UTEP as a huge underdog against Kansas State. The continued push on the Miners appears to be public followers.
154 Massachusetts was a red hot item yesterday, and Bowling Green has dropped from a -11 open all the way to -4.5.
It’s an ugly game for sure, but the wise guys appear to be siding mostly with 160 Southern Miss as a home dog against Rice.
161 Missouri is already drawing some sharp cash, and the consensus is that the flow on the Tigers will increase as we get closer to game day. My offshore contact feels this will be a major pro play.
The line move toward 177 Tennessee looks sharp but it’s actually not, say my sources. In other words, don’t be shocked to see this price reverse course on Friday or Saturday.
180 Miami Florida got bumped on Tuesday, which came as a bit of a surprise as Duke was drawing the early money. The opinions offered to me are that this number has peaked and will go back toward the opening -5 eventually.
Bettors are not fearing the return of Jameis Winston, as 182 NC State is a very popular play this week. I got split opinions as to what this number does heading into Saturday, but if you’re asking me, I think it goes back up a bit.
Marquee teams as big chalk don’t usually draw the pros, but that’s not the case this week with 186 Ohio State.
194 UL Monroe was apparently a big release from a well respected service, and that side got bombed on Tuesday.
There’s invariably one game each week where one of my back east guys I’ve known forever starts ranting on, and this week it’s 196 Utah. He didn’t like the opener and was convinced he’d get all chalk wagers, and as usual, he’s right. The Utes are real popular this week.
Looks like some sharp dollars are showing on 198 Air Force in the home dog role against Boise State.
And finally, a predictable move on 205 Nevada. The Wolf Pack are an extremely popular play this week. But it could get bought back a bit by numbers crunchers if it gets past -6.
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