Thursday, August 14
Rockies minus $1.19 hosting Reds
You're not going to find me on the Rockies too much the rest of the season, but this is one exception: Jorge De La Rosa at home against fading Alfredo Simon and a banged-up Reds squad that has dropped four of their last five.
De La Rosa is one of the few who can pitch well at Coors Field. He is 4-6 with a 5.35 on the road and 7-2 with a 3.23 ERA at Coors. The Rockies have won 76 percent of De La Rosa's last 51 starts when favored at home.
Simon is 33 and already past his career mark in innings pitched for a season. The Reds are 0-5 in Simon's five starts following the All-Star Game. Simon has a 4.78 ERA during this span, which could be worse as he's issued 11 walks. The Rockies blasted him when they beat the Reds, 11-2, back on May 10 at Cincinnati. Simon surrendered five runs and eight hits, including three homers, in that defeat.
Due to multiple injuries, the Reds are starting fill-ins and platoon type players. They aren't strong enough offensively to bail out Simon.
I also have a two-star Thursday Top Ticket play going today. It can be found here along with my discounted early-bird NFL season package, which is at its lowest price ever as I shoot for my 19th winning NFL season in the last 21 years: /pregamepros/pro-bettor/bettor.aspx?id=7746#capper.
As always, no bad luck!