Two straight 3-0 days and +43.15 marbles since the All-Star break. 36-19 on all plays since the break. Undefeated (yes, I know, 1-0) in the NFL. 11-3 Triple Dime Run. Other than that, all quiet on the Western Front.
Today is the last day (you've heard it before) for Season Football Packages which for the amount of info we put on on nearly every game might just be worth the $150/month or so.
918 HOU / 917 TEXOVER 8.5 BetOnline |
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Analysis: First of all the SP's. Miles has just been awful. The Astros crushed him earlier this season and he failed to make it through the fourth inning. I would expect that he makes some adjustments, but it's going to take a LOT of adjustments for Houston not to get their half here. The only downside is the Astros flying home last night from Philadelphia, which is why I actually lean Rangers a bit here. Mikolas has been better on the road, but for the month of July opposing teams hit .315 against him. Again, even some regression and Houston scores. I had actually been an Oberholtzer fan earlier in the season when not too many teams had seen him, but in the month of July he allowed almost twice as many flyball outs as groundball outs, and given that the Rangers hit LHP that much better, in this park a couple should leave it. The Astros bullpen did the meltdown things last night, which does two things. It probably shatters their confidence as well as uses arms they didn't plan on using with a 5-1 lead. Texas has the day off, but their pen has been shaky all season, and with Mikolas we should see it sooner rather than later. On the year, away from home, they've got a bullpen ERA of 4.66 with ten blown saves. Not good. And being rested, they should put out the A team lineup. The Rangers on the season are 23-9 to the over against LHP. Oberholtzer at home has a 4.56 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP. Just far too many ways both teams get to four, making this a winner. There seems to be a little early money shaded to the under, but sh*t happens. See yesterday when the really cool money was on the Rockies and we were on the Cubs.
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