We swept the board this Monday by going 6-0 ATS, we then split 3-3 ATS our plays this Tuesday and yesterday, we swept the board once again by going 3-0 ATS in our plays.
I'll quote myself from my Tuesday's message:
"This great day was just a valid confirmation of our uprising run since the All Star break. Now that the Soccer World Cup is gone, I'll be focused in the MLB in the next two months. I have now more time (and data) to prepare games and obviously, this is why I had such low volume of plays in the first half of the season."
We are now 36-17 ATS in the second half of season for a nice +20.7 units to show using a 1-2-3MM system or +50.6 units using my recommended 3-4-5MM system. Please note that the average odds of my MLB plays are @ +101 / 2.01, so we are not talking about laying huge odds in favorites teams, instead, we have been aggressive in our approach w/ nice success.
FINAL UPDATE: For tonight I have released 5 plays w/ one of them being a Triple Dime Play (just my #3 Triple Dime Play of the season, we’ve won our first 2 plays!). Free Premium Play is posted above, good luck to all!
MLB - 955 San Francisco Giants @ 956 New York Mets
(Starting Pitchers: R. Vogelsong vs. J. Niese)
***FREE PREMIUM PLAY***
I think that we have some value w/ SFG in this matchup as long as they are receiving odds of being the Underdog… my fair line for this contest is a pure 50/50 line.
The Giants will throw Ryan Vogelsong to the mound, and he has been solid lately (except on weird start @PHI). He kept the red hot LAD team in check by allowing just 2 ER’s in 6.0 IP’s of work. His advanced numbers of 2.30 FIP & 3.77 xFIP in that game was a good sign and I expect him to be decent tonight.
On the other end, I’m fading Jon Niese who has struggled in b2b starts after coming off the DL after allowing 3 & 4 ER’s vs. MIL & SEA. I’ve checked his game log numbers in fangraphs.com and one key factor has alerted me: his zone% in both games! For the season, his average Zone% has been 50.0%, but he had 43.2% & 41.9% in those two games – both numbers are way off vs. his season mark! I think that he might need a bit more time to regain his old form and therefore, I’m taking the Giants in here @plus money!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 955 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ R. Vogelsong) @ +112 / 2.12 on Bookmaker