Hopefully i can continue that solid run i've been on, i'll probably play 4 plays total today.. because i'm 90% sure i'm taking tomorrow off. I leave around 6 am tomorrow morning for vacation so unless i cap tomorrow's card tonight, i won't have time.
Atlanta/Washington under 8.5 (1.5/1.58) WIN - Originally i was looking at the side for this game, and i kept telling myself that the youngster, hanson, hasn't lost yet as a Brave. I wanted to pull the trigger on him as i think he'll continue to impress, but Lannan has been so great at home for the Nats that i couldn't bring myself to do so. That's where i see this being a solid value on the under. Hanson has indeed been great with a 1.54 ERA on the road, and not giving up a single earned run in his last three starts. Lannan, also, has been great at home all season with a 2.06 ERA in DC. He's made it into the 7th in every home start this season and never given up more than 3 earned runs. Both these starters will lock down the opponents, my one concern, though, is the bullpens. The Atlanta pen certainly doesn't scare me as much as the Nats pen, but we can be a little more at ease knowing that this season in the game following an Atlanta hitting explosion (which i define as seven runs or more) they have only averaged 3.5 runs per game the following day (this number being a bit inflated by two outliers: a 12 run follow up and an 11 run follow up.... the majority of their following day games were under 5 runs). UNDER is the play
Chicago Sox -118 (1.5/1.27) LOSS - Hochevar has actually been very solid lately, but i'm still not convinced he's a great pitcher. This is a guy that is always capable of a blow up. Floyd on the other hand has only given up 9 earned runs in his last 58 innings. He's been lights out lately, which is why i just can't pass up a near pick em line against a KC team that has averaged under 2 runs per game their last 8 games. This team is really struggling to hit the ball, CWS has won the last 6 games between these two teams, and i look for Floyd to continue pitching well and the Sox to grab another win to continue their impressive 5 game road win streak, 7 game streak overall.
ADDING:
LA Dodgers -137 (2.0/1.46) LOSS - Not many stats to back this one, Wolf has been decent on the road with an ERA under 4, Geer has been decent lately, but is really nothing special. I think Manny will make a good impact tonight, but i really like Wolf's success against lefties to be the difference in this one. If he can keep Adrian under wraps, the dodgers, being the far better team, should win another one in san diego.
Tampa Bay -1.5 +125 (1.5/1.88) - The key here is the fact that Holland has been horrible at home this year, with an ERA of 9 and a record of 1-4. On top of that Texas has lost his last 7 starts. I really see this game being a run fest, so to me the only advantage i'll look at is which pitching staff has the capability to contain the opposing teams lineup. I really see that staff being that of the TB rays. Price is money against righties and Texas is a right hand dominate lineup. i really feel like Price will hold his own, and Holland will get rocked. In a high scoring game like this, i see no point in taking the moneyline. We'll go large with -1.5.
Colorado -1.5 Even (1.5/1.5) - Arizona has not won a game that Petit has started all season, on top of that they are one of the worst teams in baseball in scoring on the road. Arizona faces Colorado's staff ace tonight in Aaron Cook, so they're road struggles aren't looking to be fixed tonight. If they can't score runs, they'll be in big trouble with Petit on the mound, and being followed by a bullpen that is top 5 worst in the majors. Betting against Arizona on the road is always a safe bet, but in this case we have a starting pitcher for Colorado who has been great lately, along with a starter on the other side that has been horrible all season. Runline it is.