I just Bet the Following. Good Luck Fellas...
MLB: St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds - Over 9 (Thompson/Owings) -115
Game Date: 7/4/2009
Note: Brad Thompson is a curious thrower in that he does not strikeout many people, he does not walk many people. He must have good control of the strikezone and when he does not have that, he can't do doodly squat. He has not been squating too well of late and because of that, his last 3 games have not been very good. In those contests, he has allowed 13 runs and 4 Dingers have gone over the boards. All 3 of these games went OVER the mark, despite the fact that in two of those games the Cardinals scored ZERO Runs. I don't exactly know what is going on with him but I do know he ain't getting things done. There is not much you can say about Micah Owings except to say that he is a different thrower everytime he steps onto the mound. This year has been an adventure for him and the one thing that I have noticed is that his K's are down from previous years. Ball movement has to be the reason and the lack of it means that hitters have enjoyed success with connecting on the long ball. His last 10 thrown has seen 8 of those large hits and facing the Cards today could mean more of that. I have to believe that one of these guys is not going to get the job done today in what is a hitter's friend park. That gives us a jumpstart on accomplishing our goal for this early afternoon contest. These teams have played OVER the last 9 of 12 they have played and that does include 5-0 OVER last 5 at this park. The Ump for today's matchup, Cedarstrom, is mostly considered neutral but his games have managed 10 runs this year. We have to keep in mind that this is a day game, and those games are higher scoring in every park due to the hitter's ability to see the ball better. We also have the added advantage of Owings bringing his bat to the plate. This line is dropping and for the life of me, I don't know why. It is available at some books at 9.5 and +105 but I like the 9 as it is a key number, so buy down if needed.
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