Best Bets now at 17-4 and 24-6 Runs.....Yay! Scary win but a win...
MLB: St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds - Cardinals (Pineiro/Bailey) -121 | Unit Value: 2 Unit "Best Bet"
Game Date: 7/3/2009
Note: There is one thing that I almost never do, and that is lay this kind of number on the road. It generally is not wise, but I do think it is tonight. The Cardinals thrower tonight has been magnificent this year and as of late, even better numbers. His last start was not but prior to that this guy has been on the ball. His team has not given him much run support though but that is probably going to change tonight. Bailey was highly touted when he came up from AAA a couple years ago. He can be tough to hit but his control problems are well documented. He has one of the worst K/BB Numbers that I have ever seen and this year it appears to be worse, allowing 13 Free Passes in 9.1 innings of work. He just can't afford to do that with this Cardinal Lineup and low and behold, he has not performed well verses them. Bailey is 0-2 with a 14.73 ERA in two starts against St. Louis. The Cardinals are hitting .441 against him, including homers by Ludwick, Rick Ankiel and Albert Pujols. He actually had his best effort the last time out but runners were all over the bases with 7 BB's given out. That is not going to get it today. Stl is getting better with their Pen of late and they are in their best hitting posture tonight facing the rightly. I think they will get the job done. As an added note, the Reds are 1-10 the last 11 times Bailey has started on the Hill. The Reds are getting pounded and this line has dropped considerably.
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