I hate to be the voice of caution on this play, but there are reasons why that total may be "low".
Here's my take, based on what I'm hearing from several trusted sources:
Michigan has a vert stout run defense. BUT
Ohio St. may try to employ a mis-diretion offense. To make it simple: They will probably attempt to stretch out the Wolverine defense by using Ginn in reverse scenarios, extending the toss to pittman, and allowing the Ohio St. QB to improvise, perhaps even scripting more QB centered running plays.
16 is a small number but look at what Troy did against the similar Longhorn defense:
| Ohio State Passing |
| |
C/ATT |
YDS |
AVG |
TD |
INT |
| Troy Smith |
17/26 |
269 |
10.3 |
2 |
0 |
| Team |
17/26 |
269 |
10.3 |
-- |
-- |
17 completions gets you the cover, but how stressful will that be? The Texas game was a blowout. If Michigan keeps this game close then you will get the cover with ease, but what if Ohio St. takes a 10 point lead early?
I think if you take the prop then you must be in favor of Michigan keeping this game close.
Personally: I picked Michigan to be a sleeper team for a national championship, but I'm seeing a stretched field and a confused Michigan front line.
JMHO
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