Vegas-Runner - All Comments

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

BettingResearch — Sun, 14 Mar 2010 01:48:52 GMT

thought of another topic

do you think the books take into account special "situations" like revenge games, look aheads, let downs, sandwich games, etc. when they set lines?

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

BettingResearch — Fri, 12 Mar 2010 16:08:26 GMT

I thought of a topic that you may or may not want to talk abount in a newsletter. In regards to NBA, do the books adjust over under lines based on recent outcomes?

For example, if there have been several days that a lot of unders have hit, or several days where a lot of overs have hit, will the books set the totals higher or lower then they normally would for a day or two to try and have the opposite happen?

Like if the over has been hitting a lot in nba totals for a few days in a row, will the books start to set the totals a point or two higher in anticipation of bettors just taking the over because of a perceived trend that is developing?

thanks

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

edsherpa — Sun, 07 Mar 2010 21:28:08 GMT

Awesome stuff in the newsletter. I still cant believe you crank one out every single day! We are lucky. Any chance to get the archived issues? I missed a coule and would love to put a notebook together to refer back to. Thanks for all the help.

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

STL-Sharp — Fri, 05 Mar 2010 11:54:08 GMT

^^BUMP^^

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

STL-Sharp — Fri, 05 Mar 2010 00:26:25 GMT

VR, one thing I think should be addressed for the people that are new to you or you way of capping is PATIENCE. You have discussed money management often in the last couple weeks but I feel you are missing something. You mention don't try and win it back the way you lost it, but if people are listening to you and lost doing what they are supposed to do, then they have to win it back that way. Also most people start with a relatively small bankroll and follow who is hot. So after your HOT January and beginning of February I'm sure you gained many new clients. If any of them started with smaller bankrolls the last 2 - 3 weeks may have wiped them out. So when you say stay the course it is far more difficult for many. About the time they stop following you is when you will catch fire again and they will not recoup because they didn't have the capital to stay in. When they save and have a new bankroll they will find another capper that is HOT, and the cycle repeats. I believe that is another MAJOR reason gamblers lose. Please address this in the Morning Moves or just a Forum post would be nice.

Good Luck.

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

STL-Sharp — Wed, 03 Mar 2010 00:22:30 GMT

Thanks for the kind words above VR. I have greatly enjoyed the Betting %'s topics this week. Those are an incredible tool to use. I look forward to more in depth analysis on these in future Morning Moves. I have found some "triggering" % from my research and would love to know if you have certain parameters that you use as well. Good Luck VR.

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

elijah83 — Tue, 02 Mar 2010 18:25:57 GMT

Vr, I enjoy reading the morning moves very much. I wanted to ask you if you thought there was more value in games that a have true line or a fair line. For instance today I think OKC,LAL,Mich,FLA,Clemson,Wyoming games were opened with true lines. While I think S.Miss,Marquette games were opened with Fair Lines.

re: NCAAFB & NFL "TRUE STEAM"..."65% ATS" !!

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re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

BettingResearch — Mon, 01 Mar 2010 18:41:38 GMT

I have been reading your stuff for over ayear now and it is all top notch. A true education in sports betting. I remember you saying awhile back that you like to read books at nice before bed. I am reading a great one(for the second time) and there is a ton of info in it that relates to what you say in your blogs/posts/articles. It is a book on the psych of stock trading, but so much of it relates to sports betting if you transfer it over to the sports betting markets. I just wanted to recommend it to you cause i thought you might want to read it when you have time.

Trading in the Zone by Mark Douglass it is on amazon

thanks for everything

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

Evenstar — Mon, 01 Mar 2010 14:03:21 GMT

Especially your second idea is great Brick. I totally agree that that would help a lot. It will make us see the thought process of a pro. Really nice idea.

That said, your first idea got my vote too!

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

TheBrick21 — Mon, 01 Mar 2010 05:59:22 GMT

Thanks for all your hard work on these newsletters. It is a must read each and every day. Two things I wanted to pass along as possible ideas. With conference tournaments coming up, I'd love to have a newsletter just about possible angles to consider during conference tournaments.

My other idea is if you could possibly incorporate a play you made the previous day. You could explain what you had for a line, what made you consider the game a play, and what made you confirm it as an actual play. I believe that by going through your process with an example from the previous day would be extremely helpful to your readership.

Again, I love what you're doing and appreciate your work on these. Just trying to add my thoughts.

Thanks so much.

The Brick

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

elijah83 — Mon, 01 Mar 2010 02:45:52 GMT

yes part 3 plz

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

JMAZZER — Sun, 28 Feb 2010 18:30:45 GMT

Hi VR

Love this Newsletter Thank You

Yes by all means give us a Part 3 of BETTING %…

Also, without getting your legs and arms broke, knees capped and eyes ripped out LOL

Could you tell us what amount of money the wiseguys use to move lines Plus being a newbie how do they get around the vig when the change direction in there betting?

Jm UK lass

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

Evenstar — Sun, 28 Feb 2010 17:29:49 GMT

I would love a third part on the % subject VR, love it.

I love it especially because I am currently working on a system with information we get from BB (or from you when BB is not in). Friday I went 3-1 on those plays, yesterday 2-1 and overall during the last week I am hitting around 70% on those plays.

It is too early to say anything about it, but it seems to work for now. It is purely based on the square sides we get from Bills book and the % on the general books (and finding where the real money is). Depending on some parameters I set I fade or follow the square bets of Bookie Bill.

So this subject is really something I would like to read more about.

Last thing I really would like to see is if it is possible to have a MM archive with all the old newsletters. It is a shame to lose this kind of information if you have no archive. I don't even mind paying again for the old newsletters. I am making sure I archive all the new ones.

Best regards,

Evenstar

re: FREE Daily "Early Picks" + "MM" Topics !!

cowboysfan01 — Sun, 28 Feb 2010 15:16:32 GMT

WOW, VR, I'm loving this, I am starting to think that I need to subscribe to your Newsletter. Best of Luck today my friend!!!