Michael Smith and the Hogs will run away from Tulsa on Saturday.
It's hard to believe we are already in Week 10. The college football season is almost over. I guess it's time to get ready for college hoops. These leans went 3-2 again last week, including two more outright winners with Duke and Rutgers. Over the last five weeks, these underdogs have gone 3-2 or better each time, with six outright winners. Here are some dogs with bite for Week 10:
UConn +4
The entire world is going to be on West Virginia this week but I think the Huskies have a real chance of pulling off the upset at home. First off, UConn is one of the best home teams in CFB. They rarely lose there and I'm still not sold on West Virginia with that idiot Bill Stewart running the show. The Huskies have a tough defense and will be looking to avenge an embarrassing loss last season in Morgantown. This is a classic November game that the public usually gets hammered on.
Duke +7.5
What is going on with Wake Forest? Last week against Miami Riley Skinner only attempted eight passes for the entire game. I'm not sure what kind of offense that's supposed to be. Duke has been a solid underdog play this year and I'm going to keep riding them here. David Cutcliffe is doing a great job with the Blue Devils and they have a shot to reach a bowl a game this year. I just can't lay more than a touchdown with a Wake squad that's having trouble scoring 10 points a game.
San Diego State +3
The Aztecs are bad but Wyoming is in an entire different world of being bad right now. I have to go against the Cowboys just on principle here. The only team they should be favorite against is Washington State. While both of these teams stink, at least San Diego State is still trying, which is why I think they get the win here over a Wyoming team that's given up on the season a long time ago.
Arkansas +6.5
Now Tulsa is laying almost a touchdown on the road to an SEC team? Give me a break. This is going to be a classic case of SEC power dominating this game. Michael Smith will run for at least 200 yards on that saggy Tulsa defense. Arkansas is a much improved team from earlier in the year, losing its last two games by a combined three points. Tulsa's passing attack may look great against North Texas and they will score some points here but the Golden Hurricane is making a huge jump in class in terms of speed and athleticism. I like the Hogs to win this game outright.
Pitt +5.5
The old Stache. Last week I advised taking Rutgers because that was the kind of game that makes Dave Wannstedt a terrible coach. Little did I know the Scarlet Knights were going to score 54 points and blow Pitt out of the water. But just as last week was a perfect spot to go against the Stache, this is a perfect spot to back him. Notre Dame is extremely overvalued because they beat up on a high school team last week. While I think the Irish are much-improved from a year ago, I see these two teams being even so I'll take the 5.5 points in what could be an upset in South Bend.