Marco D'Angelo

Podcast: Conference Tournament Handicapping & Free Picks (47-26) -Week of Mar 11th

2010-03-11T18:04:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- Big Game Preview UCLA vs Arizona

-- Big Game Preview North Carolina @ Georgia Tech

-- How to Handicap Conference Tournament Bubble Teams

-- How to Handicap Conference Tournament Momentum

-- How to Handicap Conference Tournament Championship Games

-- Vegas Runner's Free Pick (17-6-1 last 24 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's Free Pick (18-10 Last 28 Weeks)

-- RJ Bell's Free Pick (12-10 Last 22 Weeks)

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Podcast: 4 Basketball Games Previewed - Free Picks 46-25 (Week of Mar 5th)

2010-03-05T04:32:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- Big Game Preview Kansas @ Missouri

-- Big Game Preview Syracuse @ Louisville

-- Big Game Preview Lakers @ Orlando

-- Big Game Preview Portland @ Denver

-- Vegas Runner's Free Pick (16-6-1 last 23 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's Free Pick (18-9 Last 27 Weeks)

-- RJ Bell's Free Pick (12-10 Last 22 Weeks)

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Podcast: 4 Basketball Games Previewed - Free Picks 45-24 (Week of Feb 26th)

2010-02-27T00:00:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- Big Game Preview Kentucky @ Tennessee

-- Big Game Preview Villanova @ Syracuse

-- Big Game Preview Denver @ Lakers

-- Big Game Preview Louisville @ Connecticut

-- Vegas Runner's Free Pick (16-5-1 last 22 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's Free Pick (17-9 Last 26 Weeks)

-- RJ Bell's Free Pick (12-10 Last 22 Weeks)

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Podcast: 4 Basketball Games Previewed - Free Picks 43-23 (Week of Feb 19th)

2010-02-20T10:02:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- Big Game Preview Texas @ Texas Tech

-- Big Game Preview Kentucky @ Vanderbilt

-- Big Game Preview Cleveland @ Orlando

-- Big Game Preview Virginia Tech @ Duke

-- Vegas Runner's Free Pick (15-5-1 last 21 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's Free Pick (16-9 Last 25 Weeks)

-- RJ Bell's Free Pick (12-9 Last 21 Weeks)

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Podcast: 4 College Basketball Games Previewed - Free Picks 42-21 (Week of Feb 12th)

2010-02-12T06:34:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- Big Game Preview Oklahoma @ Oklahoma St

-- Big Game Preview Tennessee @ Kentucky

-- Big Game Preview Louisville @ Syracuse

-- Big Game Preview UCLA @ USC

-- Vegas Runner's Free Pick (14-5-1 last 20 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's Free Pick (16-8 Last 24 Weeks)

-- RJ Bell's Free Pick (12-8 Last 20 Weeks)

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To Buy or Not to Buy the 1/2 that is the Question....

2010-02-05T00:19:00Z

To Buy or Not to Buy that is the Question....

There has been a lot of talk about buying half points in the NFL especially on the Key number of 3.5 and buying it down to 3 points. With the help of Marc Lawrence I was able to run the following numbers.

Going back to 1980 there have been 575 NFL Games with the line of -3.5

In those 575 Games the Won/Loss Record laying the 3.5 is 285-290. Meaning that just blindly playing every 3.5 point favorite in the NFL would have resulted in a net loss of 34.0 Units...

Looking closer we found that 51 of those losses landed on 3 giving you a half point loss when lay 3.5. So here's where the question comes in should we buy the 1/2 point on -3.5?

The average price for buying a half point to -3 is a lay of -125 so doing this on all 290 losses would have changed our total number of losses to 239 as we would have pushed 51 games. But it would have cost us 15 extra cents on 239 losses.

239 x .15 ( the extra juice for buying a 1/2 pt) = 35.85 units

But let's not forget that there was 51 games that by paying the extra juice to get to -3 we now pushed instead of losing the game so we saved ourselves 51 losses.

51 x 1.10 ( money we saved by pushing when landed on -3) = 56.1 units

So to summarize buying the half point is like having a insurance policy. The policy cost us 35.85 units since 1980 but cashing in on the insurance every time the game landed on 3 paid us back 56.1 units or if you prefer money we didn't lose.

Net result is we saved 20.25 Units Since 1980 buying every game down to 3 from -3.5 at -125 if you have to lay more your savings is decreased.

At -130 you would save 8 units

At -133 you would save 1 unit

If you have to lay -134 or more it becomes a losing proposition...

So here's the keys when you are laying -3.5 check every available source to try to find a natural 3 or go with the best outlet that has the lowest lay price for buying the 1/2 point.

In fact, if you were able to find a -3 (at -110) when the consensus line was -3.5, you could have played those games blind and WON 22 units (a 56 unit improvement from playing blind at -3.5). Getting that half point from having more outs and shopping is a key to winning!

Remember this is just another reason you need as many betting options as possible as you can never have too many. To see all the trusted sportsbooks visit Pregameaction.com.

Finally I would again like to thank Marc Lawrence and Marc Lawrence Jr for supplying me with the data for this study.

Visit my Home Page for more great winning Sports Info

Podcast: Super Bowl Extravaganza - Free Picks 40-20 (Week of Feb 3rd)

2010-02-04T23:42:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- Super Bowl Preview Indianapolis Colts

-- Super Bowl Preview New Orleans Saints

-- Super Bowl Preview Over /Under

-- Super Bowl Preview Props Part 1

-- Super Bowl Preview Props Part 2

-- Villanova @ Georgetown Saturday Feb 6th Free Pick

-- Vegas Runner's Free NFL Pick (13-5-1 last 19 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's Free NFL Pick (16-7 Last 22 Weeks)

-- RJ Bell's Free NFL Pick (11-8 Last 18 Weeks)

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Podcast: 3 Games Previewed - Free Picks 35-19 (Week of Jan 20th)

2010-01-21T07:12:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- NY Jets @ Indianapolis Free Pick

-- Minnesota @ New Orleans Free Pick

-- Texas @ Connecticut Free Pick

-- Vegas Runner's Free NFL Pick (11-5-1 last 17 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's Free NFL Pick (15-6 Last 21 Weeks)

-- RJ Bell's Free NFL Pick (9-8 Last 17 Weeks)

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Hunting the Vegas Trap Games

2010-01-19T17:45:00Z

During my 30 year career one thing that has always set me apart was my ability to look at a game and as I like to say "Read the Line". It's sometimes hard to explain but when I read the line it tells me what the Books are thinking and what they are trying to get me to do based on the number they post on a particular game.

Here are some examples:

Line is set too low:

When the favorite is playing well yet Vegas Comes out with a Number that seems too good to be true. This is when they want you to bet the Favorite when really the live side is the Dog and many times not only covers but wins outright. This is always referred to as a Trap Game.

Line is set too high:

A dog is playing well but seems to be getting a high number. Vegas is trying to induce Dog action. The Dog will seem very live but will often get totally blown out. Now this may seem simple but you have to be able to understand what the true number should be to understand what Vegas really wants and avoid this kind of Trap Game.

Reading Line Moves:

This is the most tricky part but one of the things I'm best at. Over the last several years thanks to betting percentage sites people suddenly believe they can pick games by simply following these sites and betting against the public and following line moves. It's a great idea but not that simple. You need to know the difference between public money and sharp money. This is something I have learned over 30 years of betting. Some Moves are just the public hammering away at one side while other moves are the sharps taking a real position on a game.

Think about this for a minute 100 people bet $100 on team A. 30 people bet team B (29) of them for $100 but one sharp Bettor makes a $2500 bet on Team B. The line will have moved in favor of Team A because more money came in on them but in reality the Smart Money was on Team B. Just following betting % sites doesn't give you that info. You need contacts and you need experience with the ability to read a line.

This Basketball Season I'm going to share some of my knowledge with you as I will have a thread where we will watch a game and I will make recommendations based on what I read from the lines and betting patterns thru the day. I will pop in & out of the thread a few times a day with updates and of course my Final Read with the late moves and tell you if indeed this is a Trap Game.

Follow my daily thread at: http://pregame.com/forums

Updates Times:

Overnight or by 1:00 EST

Midday Update: 4:00 EST

Final Word: 6:15 EST

Podcast: 4 Games Previewed - Free Picks 34-17 (Week of Jan 13th)

2010-01-14T06:23:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- Arizona @ New Orleans Free Pick

-- Baltimore @ Indianapolis Free Pick

-- Dallas @ Minnesota Free Pick

-- N.Y. Jets @ San Diego Preview

-- Vegas Runner's Free NFL Pick (11-4-1 last 16 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's Free NFL Pick (15-5 Last 20 Weeks)

-- RJ Bell's Free NFL Pick (8-8 Last 16 Weeks)

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Podcast: 6 Games Previewed - Free Picks 33-15 (Week of Jan 6th)

2010-01-07T04:37:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- N.Y. Jets @ Cincinnati Free Pick

-- Philadelphia @ Dallas Free Pick

-- Baltimore @ New England Free Pick

-- Green Bay @ Arizona Preview

-- Vegas Runner's Free NFL Pick (11-3-1 last 15 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's Free NFL Pick (14-5 Last 19 Weeks)

-- RJ Bell's Free NFL Pick (8-7 Last 15 Weeks)

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Podcast: 6 Games Previewed - Free Picks 32-13 (Week of Dec 30th)

2009-12-31T09:11:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- Florida St vs WVU Preview

-- Cincinnati vs Florida Preview

-- Mississippi vs Oklahoma St Preview

-- Philadelphia @ Dallas Preview

-- Cincinnati @ NY Jets Preview

-- Boise St vs TCU Preview

-- Vegas Runner's Free CFB Pick (11-2-1 last 14 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's CFB Free Pick (14-4 Last 18 Weeks)

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Podcast: 6 Games Previewed - Free Picks 30-13 (Week of Dec 23rd)

2009-12-24T05:21:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- Boston College vs USC Preview

-- Houston @ Miami Preview

-- Baltimore @ Pittsburgh Preview

-- Denver @ Philadelphia Preview

-- Minnesota @ Chicago Preview

-- Wisconsin vs Miami-FL Bowl Preview

-- Vegas Runner's Free NFL Pick (10-2-1 last 13 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's NFL Free Pick (13-4 Last 17 Weeks)

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Podcast: 6 Games Previewed - Free Picks 29-12 (Week of Dec 16th)

2009-12-17T04:08:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- Dallas @ New Orleans Preview

-- C. Florida vs Rutgers Bowl Preview

-- San Francisco @ Philadelphia Preview

-- Green Bay @ Pittsburgh Preview

-- Minnesota @ Carolina Preview

-- NY Giants @ Washington Preview

-- Vegas Runner's Free NFL Pick (10-2 last 12 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's NFL Free Pick (12-4 Last 16 Weeks)

-- RJ's Free NFL Pick (7-6 with Free Picks)

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Podcast: 6 Games Previewed - Free Picks 28-10 (Week of Dec 9th)

2009-12-10T07:40:00Z

This weeks Sports Betting Preview is up and ready. Gambling Experts Marco D'Angelo,Vegas Runner, and host RJ Bell discuss the following topics direct from Las Vegas:

-- Army vs Navy Preview

-- Denver @ Indianapolis Preview

-- Cincinnati @ Minnesota Preview

-- San Diego @ Dallas Preview

-- Philadelphia @ NY Giants Preview

-- Arizona @ San Francisco Preview

-- Vegas Runner's Free College Pick (9-2 last 11 Weeks)

-- Marco D'Angelo's NFL Free Pick (12-3 Last 15 Weeks)

-- RJ's Free NFL Pick (7-5 with Free Picks)

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