The last game of the season can be meaningful for college football teams in need
of respect. From a handicapping perspective, this especially holds true when our
squad that is about to check out meets these 'value laden' criteria:
a)
they must have won 2 or fewer games last season
b) they are on the road,
without rest, in their season finale
c) they own a win percentage of .200
> this season
d) their opponent's win percentage is .444 < this
season
By combining all the factors above our ?see ya later? sad sacks
are a nifty 36-21-1 ATS since 1980. There are two qualifying ?Sayonara? teams on
this season?s schedule: UNLV
this week and UAB
next Saturday.
By simply going up against a foe that allows 27.5 >
PPG, and making sure we allow < 34 PPG, we improve our numbers to 19-7-1 ATS.
And by making sure our opponent did not win two games ago by 10 or more points,
we ratchet our record up to 19-4-1 ATS. UNLV qualifies this week.
While neither the Rebels nor
the Blazers will be bowling this season, this year?s teams certainly improved
leaps and bounds over last year?s editions. A season-ending pointspread win
would be the Saki-making statement to that effect!
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