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Weekend Football Betting Preview (11/15-11/16) from Marc Lawrence

by Marc Lawrence on 11/14/2008 3:07 PM

http://students.cis.uab.edu/jon123/Tony%20Romo.jpg
Tony Romo has a key trend in his favor this week

Don't look now but with Thanksgiving Day dinner on the burner it's getting to be 'push-comes-to-shove' time in college football.  With teams scurrying to become bowl eligible and others looking to protect perfect seasons it is a good time to be a handicapper. 

Here is this week's take on some of the big game on taps on the College and NFL cards this weekend.  Remember, Series History reflects results in head-to-head battles between the two teams.  All results are ATS (Against The Spread) unless noted otherwise.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL


Ohio State at Illinois

Series History: Illini won, 28-21, at 15-point dogs at Columbus last season to improve to 6-1 the last 7 games in this series.

Ohio State Key Stat: The Buckeyes are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS conference revenge under head coach Jim Tressel.

Illinois Key Stat: The Illini have lost the money in 8 of the last 10 tries against avenging Big 10 teams.

You Need To Know: Since last season, five Big 10 teams have lost to a MAC Conference team.  They are 0-4 ATS in their next game.

 

California at Oregon State

Series History: The Beavers upset the Bears, 31-28, as 14-point dogs at Berkeley last year, improving the record of the visiting team to 5-0 SU and ATS the last five meetings in this series.

California Key Stat: The Bears are 0-4 ATS as conference dogs of less than 6 points.

Oregon State Key Stat: The Beavers have held 3 of 6 conference opponents to season low - or 2nd low - yards this season.

You Need To Know: Oregon State controls it's own destiny in the PAC 10.  If they win out they win the conference title and a trip to the Rose Bowl.

 

South Carolina at Florida

Series History: The Gators are 15-1 SU the last sixteen games in this series, including 5-1 ATS off a SU and ATS win.

South Carolina Key Stat: Steve Spurrier is 47-23 SU and ATS on the conference road in his college football head coaching career.

Florida Key Stat: The Gators are 16-7-1 in conference games after scoring 40 or more points in each of its previous four games.

You Need To Know: Last year's 51-31 loss in Columbia represented the most points ever allowed by a Spurrier team in a conference game in his college football head coaching career spanning 153 games.

 

NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE


Tennessee at Jacksonville

Series History: The Titans beat the Jaguars, 17-10, as 3-point home dogs in their season opener this year.  The underdog in this series is 8-2.

Tennessee Key Stat: The Titans are 1-9 in November with a .500 or greater record versus an opponent off a double-digit win.

Jacksonville Key Stat: The Jaguars are 7-1 in November versus an opponent off back-to-back wins.

You Need To Know: Jacksonville coach Jack Del Rio is 17-6 as a dog with revenge, including 13-2 if his team's win percentage is .444 or greater.

 

Minnesota at Tampa Bay

Series History: The Bucs are 4-1 the last five meetings and 5-0 the last five as a series host.

Minnesota Key Stat: The Vikings are 2-13 as a road dog off back-to-back wins versus a non-division NFC opponent.

Tampa Bay Key Stat: Bucs head coach Jon Gruden is 10-3 in his career with rest, including 6-1 at home.

You Need To Know: The Bucs are 3-1 SU and 4-0 In The Stats since switching to Jeff Garcia as their starting quarterback this season.

 

Dallas at Washington

Series History: The Redskins upset the Cowboys, 26-24, as 10,5-point underdogs at Dallas in Week Three this season, improving to 6-1 the last 7 games in this series.

Dallas Key Stat: The Cowboys are 10-4 with rest versus an opponent off a loss.

Washington Key Stat: The Redskins are 1-13 in November off a non-division game versus and opponent off a SU and ATS loss.

You Need To Know: NFL teams are 6-16 in their next game after facing Mike Tomlin's Steelers.


Other Top Trends for this weekend: BYU is 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS versus an opponent off a win in games before Utah... Central Florida is 5-1 SU and 6-1 ATS as a single-digit road dog... USC is 25-0 SU and 20-5 ATS in November under head coach Peter Carroll... The Atlanta Falcons are 1-10 off a double-digit as a .500 or greater teams versus a .500 or greater team... The Miami Dolphins are 2-17 ATS as home favorites of 7 or more points when playing off a win... The 49ers are 12-0 as a favorite of 14 or less points versus the Rams.

This Week's Super System Says: PLAY ON any .500 or greater college conference home dog of 2 or more points in its Last Home Game of the season if they won 10 or more games last year.
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 15-4 Play On: Kansas

> Get Marc's Favorite & Underdog Games of the Week at Pregame Pros!


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2 Comments:

 

posted by spartan on 11/14/2008 3:17 PM

Solid info, thanks Marc!

 

posted by Matty O'Shea on 11/15/2008 8:22 AM

Great stuff Marc - thanks for posting.

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