WNBA PLAY:
WNBA - 605 Sacramento
Monarchs @ 606 Minnesota Lynx
I expect the Monarchs to be
competitive tonight and I wouldn't be surprised if they pull the trigger and win
outright however all the possible scenarios for me is that they start strong the
game and that's why I'm taking them at the break rather the full
game.
This is a classic letdown spot for Minnesota. Look, they are riding
a 3-game winning streak and last Monday they beat Atlanta on the road in a
national TV game (ESPN2) so it's hard for them to duplicate the same effort
tonight especially when you are facing the worst WNBA team! In fact, in that
game 4 of the 5 Minny' starters played more than 30 minutes (more than 75% of
the possible time on the court) so we cannot discount the possibility of a
physical letdown as well.
Sacramento meanwhile blew the chance to snap
their losing streak in Chicago by losing 72-74 when with 3 minutes remaining
they led 67-62. Slowly they are improving and getting more comfortable as a team
and although this is their fourth game in seven days last game their entire
roster played some minutes (Nicole Powell was the most utilized with just 24
minutes!) so we are dealing with a relatively fresh team. Sacramento is a tough
matchup for Minnesota because Minny isn't a good rebounding team while the
Monarchs are by far the best rebounding team in the league. In fact, last season
Sacramento covered all the 3 games against Minnesota (including winning on the
road despite being +9 points underdogs). This season however Minny went on the
road to beat Sacramento but let's not forget 3 key points: 1. Lynx superstar
Augustus scored 30 points while shooting 12-18 from the field and it was her
that carried the team on the fourth quarter with 14 points and she's out for the
season; 2.The Lynx committed a season low 8 turnovers and I don't expect such
magnificent number today; 3. Huge mismatch on the boards, Sacramento
outrebounded the Lynx 47-30. In fact the Lynx had 18 defensive rebounds and
Sacramento ended with 16 offensive rebounds, wow!
Minnesota is 2-9 ATS in
the first half off a road win lately and in my research I found a powerful trend
that supports Sacramento: Playing on Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line
after a close loss by 3 points or less is 22-6 ATS over the last 3 seasons. I'm
taking Sacramento in the first half in here.
Split the
wager:
2/3 units on Sacramento HALF TIME (+3.5)
1/3
units on Sacramento HALF TIME ML @ +170 on 5Dimes
Good luck 
For today I have a big double dime play in the Wnba and we are still perfect in the season with such best bets, let's cash!