Hi Pregame community!
I've decided that the whole NBA card to be free today.
We have four plays today and one of them is a double dime play.
The lines for the plays were the ones send to the clients with long term packages.
Here are the plays:
@ 
PORTLAND PHILADELPHIA
Last
night I went with Minnesota against Miami saying that even the lowly
teams had their streaks and we had to ride with them in such moments.
Well, I lost that bet but it was really an unlucky loss as Minnesota
led down the stretch and could have easily won that game. Like
yesterday, I'm riding with a red hot team on this game as I think that
they can made an upset in here.
The Sixers won their last 4 games and we cannot say that they were
against lowly teams, as they defeated in that span Atlanta, Milwaukee
and the Rockets who aren't exactly bad teams. The Sixers are in fact
playing the wild crazy style basketball that such good results had in
the last season (second half of the season). The absence of Elton Brand
is not a mere coincidence in my opinion as they "returned to basics"
after his absence.
Playing in that style, the Sixers have 3 powerful characteristics:
rebounds, fast break points and points in the paint. They are the worst
3 pts shooting team of the league just because they focused almost
exclusively in penetrations to the hoops. In fact, they reached the
amazing mark of 50 points in the paint in 4 of their last 5 games and
this could make some damage to the Blazers defense and I will tell why:
The Blazers are a tough team down the paint but Greg Oden is not a
veteran center and facing against such powerful team like the Sixers
are I wouldn't be surprised if he face foul trouble during the hole
game. The only other team in this league who plays in a similar style
of the Sixers are the Jazz and coincidently or not they are already 2-0
against Portland this season.
The Blazers in the last 3 games didn't play against powerful
frontcourt teams, they faced the Pistons who were without Rasheed
Wallace, they faced then the Warriors who are exclusively a jump
shooting team and in the last game they faced the Bulls who are a
similar team and relies their game on the backcourt players.
The Blazers are1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games and today they
will face a confident home dog team who is playing their best
basketball of the season. The Sixers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games
as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5 and I think that they can win this game
outright.
Regular Play on Philadelphia 76ers (+2)
@ 
MIAMI MILWAUKEE
In
this game the Bucks are favored by 6 points and this is clearly a
"weird" line taking in account that the Heat are 20-17 and the Bucks
are a 19-21 record team and they are 5-5 L10 games. In "normal
conditions" the Bucks would have had a shorter line on this game and
the public is biting the Heat in a scary proposition of 70/30.
Well, this is an awful spot for the Heat. They are in the middle of
a 7 game road trip and this will be the fourth game of that span. Look
at this: tonight's game will be the third game in four nights; they
faced the Lakers and the Wolves yesterday. Do you realize that after
tonight's game the Heat has faced 3 consecutive different divisional
teams in 4 days? Join now to the discussion the fact that the games
against Lakers and Minnesota were ballgames, only decided down the
stretch so naturally the players are affected by some fatigue.
But that's not all. Miami in this season are 1-5-1 ATS playing back
to back games and 0-7 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this
season. Do you now understand the reason for the 6 points favoring the
Bucks tonight?
The Bucks bounced back nicely after a disgusting home loss against
the Sixers by winning in Washington. Andrew Bogut returned to the team
and he made an immediate impact with 9-12 FG for 18 points and 10
rebounds. The Bucks are one of the most productive ATS teams in this
season, they are 9-4 ATS as home favorites and this is really a good
spot for them and I'm taking them in here.
Regular Play on Milwaukee Bucks (-6)
@ 
LA LAKERS SAN ANTONIO
This
is my strongest play of the day and I grade this bet as a double dime
as I believe the totals line is completely overrated for this game.
The Lakers had a heck of a tough game last night in Houston and
facing today the Spurs isn't exactly a good spot for them. They made a
huge effort yesterday as the Rockets gave them a dogfight game and we
must not forget that right now the Lakers aren't a deep team in the
rotations as Sasha Vujacic, Luke Walton and Jordan Farmar are out and
Lamar Odom was available but not at 100%. In fact, the All Stars Kobe
Bryant and Pau Gasol had to make a huge effort to provide a win for LA,
they played 42 and 41 minutes when their season averages are 36 and
35.7 minutes per game.
If you add to this the fact the previous game of them against Miami
was as well a ballgame we have in here a tired team playing their third
game in four nights that are without most of their role players coming
from the bench. The Lakers are 4-2 Under in road back to back games in
this season.
Meanwhile, the Spurs suffered a tough defeat at home against
Orlando in a game that they actually they played well but the Orlando
Magic are playing right now in an insane mode. The Spurs tried to slow
down the pace in that game but the Magic buried them behind the arc
hitting a sizzling 14-22 mark (do you noticed that they made 23 treys
last night in Sacramento establishing a new NBA record?). For today I
expect that the Spurs will make everything to slow down the pace as
well and I believe that for the Lakers this isn't a problem as being a
tired team they don't want to speed up the pace as well.
Saying that we have for this game an unrealistic 201 points, the
word "unrealistic" is well used because Under is 9-1 in the last 10
meetings in San Antonio and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings and playing in
such conditions the Under is a strong play in here.
Both teams already in this season when facing top teams showed a
strong defense. In fact, both teams are 5-0 Under against a team with a
winning record and I think we have great value playing the under in
here. Take it in a double dime play.
Double Dime Play on Under 200.5
@ 
SACRAMENTO GOLDEN STATE
This
is an ugly play, I know that but still I think we have a great value
with the Kings tonight because I expect a better effort tonight after
the embarrassment of yesterday's game.
The Kings were spanked by 107-139 against Orlando at home, but
honestly, when we see a team hitting 23 of their 37 3pts attempts
there's nothing to do about it no matter what the team you are. The
main question is to find out how the Kings will react tonight and
judging by some comments of the Kings players we will see an A effort
tonight:
"We won't come out there like that again," Garcia said. "I'm going
to play hard, and it's going to start with me. And if other guys aren't
playing hard, coach (Kenny) Natt is going to see that � including
myself. It's time to start making people accountable, because that was
just an embarrassment tonight."
"We're a joke right now," said Martin, whose 30 points doubled that
of the team's second-highest scorer (Garc�a, 15). "That's how people
look at us. They keep on launching threes and still have one of their
best players out on the court. You should be pretty angry about that."
The Kings will face tonight a "good" team to perform their bounce
back. The Warriors are an inconsistent team and an awful team being
favorite, in fact, already in this season they are 0-3 ATS being home
favorite of 4 or more points and they have a weird record of 2-8 ATS
after winning one game and 6-27 ATS off a home win over the last 2
seasons.
This will be a run and gun game, no question at all about it. The
totals line of 227 points show that and in such scenario we have two
team in completely different spots as the Kings played yesterday and
the Warriors had 2 days of to rest. Likely the hottest team will win
tonight and I've always like in these game to ride teams who are with
some rhythm. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road
underdog of 5.0-10.5 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing
more than 125 points in their previous game. Take the Kings in here
tonight.
1/3 unit Play on Sacramento Kings ML @ 190
2/3 units Play on Sacramento Kings (+5,5)
Good luck!